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Glenn Hegar
Texas Comptroller of Public Accounts
Glenn Hegar
Texas Comptroller of Public Accounts
Glenn Hegar
Texas Comptroller of Public Accounts
Exhibit 4 - 11 Data
FY Quarter Year over Year Texas GSP ($ millions) Texas GSP YoY US Recessions Drop in Oil Prices Drop in Oil Prices (10% or more)
Sales and Use Tax Oil Production Tax Natural Gas Production Tax Hotel Occupancy Tax Motor Vehicle Sales and Rental Taxes Motor Fuel Taxes Sales and Use Tax, Retail Trade Sector Sales and Use Tax, Mining Sector
1983Q1 0.1% -4.5% 2.8% 28.1% 3.4% 0.0% 262,732.26 -0.42%
1983Q2 -14.5% -13.8% 0.6% -30.9% -1.8% 0.0% 264,889.32 0.53%
1983Q3 -2.6% -11.4% -4.4% -9.7% -1.4% 0.0% 268,899.19 1.50%
1983Q4 6.2% -8.0% -0.3% 32.5% 22.1% 0.0% 273,510.72 3.97%
1984Q1 29.7% -10.0% -0.7% -9.7% 9.7% 0.0% 279,578.24 6.41%
1984Q2 14.8% -10.9% 6.9% 40.4% 20.3% 0.0% 283,973.78 7.20% -0.5%
1984Q3 17.0% 4.9% 7.3% 29.5% 19.4% 0.0% 292,727.10 8.86% -7.7%
1984Q4 8.0% -6.9% 1.7% -7.8% 22.1% 0.0% 297,445.53 8.75% -6.3%
1985Q1 -2.9% -2.0% -0.1% 14.4% 33.8% 0.0% 302,085.29 8.05% -10.5% -100.0%
1985Q2 13.0% -15.4% -8.2% 23.1% 30.4% 0.0% 308,231.53 8.54% -8.6%
1985Q3 12.2% -6.0% 17.1% 49.5% 31.5% 0.0% 313,550.46 7.11% -4.8%
1985Q4 12.7% -5.7% -38.5% 49.7% 18.0% 2.8% 317,580.63 6.77%
1986Q1 7.4% -8.0% -12.8% 31.1% 2.6% 1.1% 316,759.19 4.86% -36.9% -100.0%
1986Q2 4.1% -6.4% -18.8% 10.2% 0.7% 6.9% 312,310.70 1.32% -50.4% -100.0%
1986Q3 -3.5% -57.0% -48.8% -13.0% -12.1% -0.6% 304,592.66 -2.86% -50.0% -100.0%
1986Q4 -5.9% -55.8% -12.3% 4.6% -11.2% 1.2% 300,496.29 -5.38% -47.1% -100.0%
1987Q1 -7.2% -52.9% -38.3% -15.8% -7.0% 1.9% 294,678.01 -6.97%
1987Q2 10.6% -35.0% -24.4% 2.8% -14.2% 40.7% 298,871.50 -4.30%
1987Q3 20.2% 25.2% 17.9% 6.0% -5.3% 41.4% 301,154.89 -1.13%
1987Q4 28.6% 39.2% -37.2% -34.8% -0.6% 47.7% 306,642.50 2.05%
1988Q1 50.1% 22.3% 5.1% 24.1% 8.4% 43.1% 313,128.45 6.26% -8.3%
1988Q2 32.4% -34.1% 4.4% 67.7% 23.5% 3.4% 316,721.82 5.97% -10.4% -100.0%
1988Q3 30.8% -17.0% -25.4% 47.5% 25.4% 0.2% 327,533.58 8.76% -25.5% -100.0%
1988Q4 27.5% -27.2% 51.6% 100.9% 16.7% 0.8% 333,430.51 8.74% -21.3% -100.0%
1989Q1 11.3% -24.5% 9.6% 7.7% 3.4% 339,787.53 8.51%
1989Q2 5.9% 41.4% 3.6% -8.2% 5.8% -2.9% 346,516.10 9.41%
1989Q3 7.1% 7.7% 29.5% 28.2% 7.6% 5.0% 354,089.27 8.11%
1989Q4 7.5% 29.0% -30.8% 16.7% 9.0% 0.5% 361,395.64 8.39%
1990Q1 7.3% 23.8% -9.3% -15.8% 10.4% 0.5% 367,204.62 8.07%
1990Q2 12.7% 14.1% 4.7% -7.9% 8.8% 4.5% 377,892.41 9.05% -11.6% -100.0%
1990Q3 9.1% -16.9% -25.7% 2.3% 4.3% -1.4% 387,658.79 9.48%
1990Q4 10.7% 25.2% 45.9% 8.4% 2.7% -1.4% 395,255.23 9.37% 110.00%
1991Q1 10.8% 66.0% 26.1% 16.0% 3.7% -2.7% 392,776.10 6.96% 110.00% -0.1%
1991Q2 10.3% 0.6% -17.5% 15.7% -5.4% -3.4% 395,351.86 4.62% 110.00%
1991Q3 7.2% 16.7% 30.6% -4.3% -1.6% 6.2% 400,862.29 3.41% -18.3% -100.0%
1991Q4 4.5% -20.5% -42.3% 6.7% 0.0% 5.2% 405,362.30 2.56% -31.7% -100.0%
1992Q1 1.7% -38.3% -12.0% 1.7% 1.4% 32.3% 410,269.78 4.45% -12.8% -100.0%
1992Q2 2.5% -20.4% -19.5% 11.8% 22.8% 44.1% 415,144.33 5.01%
1992Q3 5.3% -3.9% -29.6% 12.4% 13.5% 36.3% 423,477.49 5.64%
1992Q4 4.8% -3.5% 72.4% -3.2% 22.7% 28.5% 431,533.00 6.46% -5.7%
1993Q1 9.0% -10.9% 6.9% 7.5% 24.8% 4.3% 440,225.21 7.30%
1993Q2 4.5% 2.0% 26.6% 27.9% 10.2% 2.0% 447,651.89 7.83% -6.6%
1993Q3 8.1% -9.5% 65.6% -11.8% 14.0% -2.3% 453,430.15 7.07% -17.7% -100.0%
1993Q4 8.5% -24.3% -25.5% 25.8% 13.3% 3.3% 458,627.47 6.28% -19.6% -100.0%
1994Q1 5.8% -27.7% -17.5% 18.1% 11.3% 3.9% 2.9% -13.3% 468,764.27 6.48% -25.3% -100.0%
1994Q2 9.8% -34.4% 4.9% -16.7% 17.4% 4.8% 14.7% 5.9% 474,280.39 5.95% -10.4% -100.0%
1994Q3 6.0% -15.2% -32.7% 15.9% 16.2% 4.3% 3.7% 9.9% 483,280.06 6.58%
1994Q4 5.8% -5.8% 19.5% 21.3% 10.0% 4.7% 5.3% 4.7% 489,969.76 6.83%
1995Q1 5.5% 6.1% -15.9% 21.7% 11.1% 2.3% 5.8% -9.9% 502,284.09 7.15%
1995Q2 2.9% 18.3% -31.8% 26.0% 8.7% 1.5% 2.9% -6.7% 502,912.08 6.04%
1995Q3 5.0% 1.0% 8.4% 17.1% 12.1% 3.5% 6.0% -15.3% 511,557.26 5.85% -4.0%
1995Q4 2.7% -16.9% -48.1% -6.2% 11.5% 2.4% 5.0% -15.1% 520,237.79 6.18%
1996Q1 2.8% -7.0% -1.6% -19.1% 9.4% 5.4% 5.7% -4.6% 530,347.75 5.59%
1996Q2 9.0% 3.8% 13.9% 15.8% 12.3% 4.7% 4.3% -18.2% 538,711.28 7.12%
1996Q3 4.7% 10.9% -11.6% 5.3% 8.9% 2.8% 4.8% -15.7% 552,645.02 8.03%
1996Q4 5.8% 31.8% 105.5% 7.4% 7.6% 2.9% 4.9% -3.8% 563,926.06 8.40%
1997Q1 7.4% 35.0% 53.7% 9.9% 6.6% 1.5% 4.4% 10.8% 577,305.81 8.85%
1997Q2 3.3% 14.3% 59.6% 1.1% 2.0% 0.4% 5.9% 7.3% 587,747.21 9.10% -7.7%
1997Q3 5.5% -10.7% 41.5% 9.6% 6.0% 5.7% 5.5% 25.2% 605,969.49 9.65% -11.5% -100.0%
1997Q4 9.2% -17.5% -25.9% 9.3% 6.7% 5.1% 6.5% 31.5% 620,849.59 10.09% -18.7% -100.0%
1998Q1 6.6% -23.3% 9.0% 8.5% 8.9% 4.8% 6.2% 16.5% 626,459.71 8.51% -30.0% -100.0%
1998Q2 12.4% -35.5% -30.4% 16.6% 8.4% 7.1% 11.0% 28.4% 636,239.31 8.25% -26.3% -100.0%
1998Q3 10.9% -31.9% -31.2% 10.9% 10.7% 3.8% 8.4% 4.0% 638,724.44 5.41% -28.5% -100.0%
1998Q4 5.7% -27.9% 18.4% 8.4% 8.8% 3.2% 5.1% -20.8% 650,245.55 4.73% -35.2% -100.0%
1999Q1 5.7% -49.4% -44.0% 8.4% 10.1% 3.4% 4.9% -41.1% 657,578.29 4.97% -18.1% -100.0%
1999Q2 5.3% -46.3% -47.5% 4.0% 14.7% 3.9% 6.3% -37.0% 665,139.50 4.54%
1999Q3 3.8% -13.7% 39.7% 5.5% 8.1% 3.2% 4.6% -12.8% 672,401.77 5.27%
1999Q4 4.0% 24.2% 3.3% 2.9% 9.0% 5.7% 3.1% -17.7% 682,459.36 4.95%
2000Q1 8.1% 99.4% 48.6% 3.3% 12.4% 7.5% 9.0% 26.4% 705,340.97 7.26%
2000Q2 7.3% 3.2% 15.1% -0.1% 7.6% 38.3% 716,822.98 7.77%
2000Q3 8.6% 26.9% 13.8% 11.8% 0.2% 5.1% 2.4% 737,960.12 9.75%
2000Q4 7.7% 52.2% 152.3% 10.2% 8.7% 4.1% 7.7% 25.7% 745,838.71 9.29%
2001Q1 5.3% 33.2% 127.7% 8.4% 3.9% 0.5% 2.7% 15.5% 754,862.20 7.02%
2001Q2 2.7% -1.4% 12.6% 0.1% 3.6% -1.4% 11.1% 770,199.99 7.45% 110.00% -2.3%
2001Q3 3.4% -16.2% 72.8% -3.7% -0.3% 3.4% 4.6% 40.6% 773,095.59 4.76% 110.00% -16.1% -100.0%
2001Q4 2.6% -20.5% -59.7% -7.6% 8.4% 3.3% 0.9% 37.3% 773,838.17 3.75% 110.00% -35.9% -100.0%
2002Q1 0.2% -42.3% -65.4% -10.5% 16.3% 2.3% 3.1% 5.9% 774,893.05 2.65% 110.00% -24.6% -100.0%
2002Q2 -2.0% -26.5% -72.8% -7.1% 0.6% 2.9% 3.2% -1.0% 778,718.05 1.11% -6.1%
2002Q3 -2.3% -7.2% -41.5% -2.1% -1.3% 3.0% -0.1% -18.5% 782,568.62 1.23%
2002Q4 -1.2% 5.8% 42.7% 4.8% -5.7% 0.9% 3.1% 9.1% 791,444.19 2.28%
2003Q1 -2.8% 37.8% 67.7% 2.3% -12.6% 1.1% -1.1% -40.4% 796,300.34 2.76%
2003Q2 -2.5% 43.9% -7.9% -6.2% -0.9% -2.8% -14.1% 803,900.12 3.23%
2003Q3 -0.6% 13.3% 20.6% -1.7% -8.2% 0.0% 0.1% -3.2% 817,014.30 4.40%
2003Q4 1.7% 1.7% 88.7% -2.0% -1.3% -1.0% 0.7% -5.5% 840,091.50 6.15%
2004Q1 6.3% 10.6% 28.0% 2.4% -3.3% 3.5% 2.9% 96.3% 858,051.67 7.75%
2004Q2 16.5% 20.9% -6.1% 11.4% 0.1% 6.7% 15.4% 17.7% 881,599.03 9.67%
2004Q3 4.8% 31.0% 44.4% 2.3% 3.5% 0.4% 3.2% 6.2% 896,600.77 9.74%
2004Q4 6.8% 40.2% 15.5% 9.9% -3.9% 4.1% 4.6% 6.1% 914,724.35 8.88%
2005Q1 7.0% 53.7% 50.9% 10.0% -0.7% -0.1% 4.4% 30.6% 932,359.85 8.66%
2005Q2 -0.5% 18.1% 7.4% 5.6% 6.1% -2.4% 0.3% 37.6% 959,296.70 8.81%
2005Q3 11.5% 35.6% 9.6% 13.9% 6.0% 1.9% 10.2% 71.9% 966,646.30 7.81%
2005Q4 7.9% 42.4% 45.9% 10.5% 12.8% 0.5% 6.3% 38.6% 993,517.20 8.61%
2006Q1 12.4% 21.4% 68.6% 20.0% 2.2% 2.2% 12.4% 48.0% 1,026,145.10 10.06%
2006Q2 15.2% 22.6% 46.3% 21.8% 7.6% 3.1% 10.7% 76.8% 1,055,424.70 10.02%
2006Q3 10.4% 28.7% 5.8% 15.7% 12.5% 2.4% 9.4% 56.8% 1,077,440.10 11.46%
2006Q4 13.9% 10.2% -18.5% 16.2% 5.6% 2.2% 11.4% 64.3% 1,094,588.80 10.17%
2007Q1 9.7% -2.2% -36.3% 11.5% 14.8% 1.9% 6.0% 46.8% 1,113,725.90 8.53% -8.4%
2007Q2 9.7% -6.9% -21.3% 9.9% 8.1% 2.7% 7.7% 34.5% 1,133,059.50 7.36% -8.0%
2007Q3 10.1% -8.5% 10.4% 9.6% 5.6% 0.9% 4.7% 29.2% 1,174,944.60 9.05%
2007Q4 7.7% 9.0% 8.8% 8.6% 5.2% 2.6% 7.1% 25.0% 1,189,928.90 8.71%
2008Q1 7.9% 63.1% 35.8% 8.4% 9.7% 3.2% 6.3% 19.1% 1,216,399.20 9.22% 110.00%
2008Q2 4.6% 84.0% 44.9% 8.6% 4.1% 0.8% 1.7% 18.4% 1,220,913.00 7.75% 110.00%
2008Q3 7.7% 104.7% 73.1% 8.3% -6.3% 0.0% 5.8% 28.3% 1,257,539.70 7.03% 110.00%
2008Q4 5.6% 71.3% 55.5% 4.4% -7.1% -3.8% -0.2% 31.2% 1,258,171.70 5.74% 110.00% -35.2% -100.0%
2009Q1 3.5% -34.2% -47.5% 5.0% -20.6% -2.0% 0.0% 43.6% 1,212,955.00 -0.28% 110.00% -56.0% -100.0%
2009Q2 -3.2% -61.3% -78.8% -11.1% -22.2% -1.9% -1.5% -10.8% 1,167,263.90 -4.39% 110.00% -51.9% -100.0%
2009Q3 -9.3% -54.8% -82.3% -18.1% -29.1% -1.0% -4.3% -38.8% 1,147,224.80 -8.77% 110.00% -42.1% -100.0%
2009Q4 -12.6% -47.4% -98.5% -13.1% -17.5% 0.5% -4.2% -48.9% 1,156,499.00 -8.08%
2010Q1 -13.5% 21.8% -39.6% -16.6% -12.0% -3.4% -5.5% -54.8% 1,182,617.60 -2.50%
2010Q2 -5.1% 96.3% 132.4% -1.3% -0.6% 0.1% -2.7% -22.2% 1,215,957.00 4.17%
2010Q3 1.5% 19.6% 11.0% 14.1% 3.5% 2.1% 29.9% 1,223,586.60 6.66%
2010Q4 4.5% 23.0% 9.0% 7.7% 3.9% 1.4% 51.3% 1,243,561.50 7.53%
2011Q1 9.5% 27.1% 36.9% 14.0% 19.8% 5.1% 5.1% 80.2% 1,265,682.00 7.02%
2011Q2 10.4% 37.5% -2.5% 12.7% 14.7% 0.8% 7.4% 66.1% 1,292,774.50 6.32%
2011Q3 9.2% 87.5% 47.7% -5.3% 11.9% -0.3% 4.7% 56.1% 1,329,678.00 8.67%
2011Q4 13.2% 50.0% 95.7% 3.1% 12.3% -0.3% 7.7% 62.2% 1,338,570.40 7.64%
2012Q1 10.4% 49.6% 8.6% 15.1% 0.4% 5.2% 47.3% 1,363,859.60 7.76%
2012Q2 14.0% 60.1% 20.2% 6.5% 22.9% 3.7% 11.5% 55.2% 1,388,784.50 7.43% -8.8%
2012Q3 10.7% 25.8% -4.0% 28.8% 19.6% 2.8% 4.3% 35.9% 1,397,744.90 5.12%
2012Q4 12.9% 54.5% -31.4% 17.0% 19.5% 2.5% 8.1% 50.9% 1,411,318.60 5.43% -6.2%
2013Q1 9.6% 34.7% -8.9% 5.2% 13.9% 2.5% 7.5% 15.2% 1,447,666.90 6.14% -8.3%
2013Q2 4.4% 33.1% 3.2% 13.6% 8.1% 0.2% 4.2% 1.2% 1,468,897.30 5.77%
2013Q3 8.1% 44.5% 47.9% 9.6% 5.0% 2.2% 8.4% 9.1% 1,491,883.60 6.74%
2013Q4 3.4% 48.6% 32.7% 7.8% 9.1% 1.6% 5.5% -17.9% 1,520,173.50 7.71%
2014Q1 4.9% 32.8% 1.3% 13.0% 10.4% 1.1% 6.2% 0.2% 1,528,045.00 5.55%
2014Q2 5.7% 21.3% 30.5% 10.1% 8.3% 4.1% 1.3% 1.9% 1,535,143.70 4.51%
2014Q3 6.2% 27.4% 43.6% 9.3% 6.4% 3.0% 5.7% 6.5% 1,574,807.00 5.56% -8.2%
2014Q4 9.4% 10.2% 5.8% 11.4% 11.0% 5.2% 8.3% 29.0% 1,596,886.90 5.05% -24.9% -100.0%
2015Q1 8.8% -6.5% -3.1% 13.1% 11.3% 7.2% 5.6% 21.0% 1,584,435.80 3.69% -50.7% -100.0%
2015Q2 4.8% -44.5% -60.7% 8.1% 7.0% 3.5% 5.0% 0.9% 1,573,678.90 2.51% -43.7% -100.0%
2015Q3 2.3% -36.7% -55.8% 4.1% 3.3% 0.9% 6.2% -29.2% 1,567,440.60 -0.47% -52.2% -100.0%
2015Q4 -1.4% -50.3% -48.3% 1.0% 3.9% 5.1% 2.2% -45.6% 1,571,573.50 -1.59% -42.4% -100.0%
2016Q1 -2.8% -45.0% -59.5% 1.2% 0.7% -1.8% 2.5% -53.8% 1,561,134.90 -1.47% -31.2% -100.0%
2016Q2 -0.8% -37.1% -79.8% -3.1% 1.3% 4.0% 5.4% -52.9% 1,534,499.00 -2.49% -21.3% -100.0%
2016Q3 -3.3% -30.5% -40.0% 0.9% 2.7% 2.2% 0.0% -41.2% 1,557,982.50 -0.60% -3.2%
2016Q4 -2.1% -15.7% -5.7% -0.8% 0.7% -0.9% 0.1% -29.2% 1,575,187.00 0.23%
2017Q1 0.3% 12.2% 52.7% -4.1% 0.2% 3.8% 0.4% -21.5% 1,594,860.30 2.16%
2017Q2 3.3% 71.2% 8.9% 3.1% 0.1% 0.0% 17.2% 1,625,794.90 5.95%
2017Q3 7.3% 22.5% -0.5% -3.7% 5.2% 3.8% 53.5% 1,647,250.30 5.73%
2017Q4 5.2% 29.0% 45.4% 8.0% -5.8% 1.2% 3.5% 3.8% 1,675,583.60 6.37%
2018Q1 10.8% 54.5% 66.7% 17.0% 12.9% 3.2% 7.2% 73.3% 1,713,898.40 7.46%
2018Q2 9.8% 60.1% 26.0% 11.1% 4.2% 2.7% 7.6% 61.2% 1,751,026.70 7.70%
2018Q3 10.2% 70.0% 48.8% 16.5% 13.2% 2.5% 5.4% 32.9% 1,792,912.00 8.84%
2018Q4 12.6% 83.7% 38.6% 6.2% 11.5% 2.4% 6.4% 107.3% 1,823,659.10 8.84%
2019Q1 6.1% 18.8% 25.3% 7.0% -3.2% 1.6% 1.8% 38.3% 1,842,447.10 7.50% -12.7% -100.0%
2019Q2 6.2% -1.1% 10.7% 4.1% 0.9% 1.2% -0.4% 15.7% 1,852,143.40 5.77% -11.9% -100.0%
2019Q3 5.6% 10.2% -1.4% 5.9% 0.3% 0.7% 5.0% 10.2% 1,881,553.30 4.94% -18.9% -100.0%
2019Q4 4.1% -1.0% -31.0% 8.1% 6.2% 3.4% 4.4% -3.6% 1,896,062.90 3.97% -2.9%
2020Q1 6.6% 18.3% -22.0% 4.7% 7.6% 1.7% 11.2% -20.6% 1,918,065.00 4.10% -1.5%
2020Q2 -1.1% -2.4% -25.3% 3.5% -3.2% 6.5% -7.7% 1,915,346.62 3.41%
max 0.50 1.05 1.52 1.01 0.34 0.48 0.11
min -0.15 -0.61 -0.99 -0.35 -0.29 -0.04 -0.09

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