The South Texas Region of Texas includes 28 counties stretching along the Mexico border from Del Rio to Brownsville and up the Gulf Coast past Rockport to Aransas Pass and San Antonio Bay. The region includes four metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs): the Brownsville-Harlingen MSA, comprising Cameron County; the Corpus Christi MSA, which includes Aransas, Nueces and San Patricio counties; the Laredo MSA, comprising Webb County; and the McAllen-Edinburg-Mission MSA, comprising Hidalgo County. Counties in the region not associated with an MSA include Bee, Brooks, Dimmit, Duval, Edwards, Jim Hogg, Jim Wells, Kenedy, Kinney, Kleberg, La Salle, Live Oak, Maverick, McMullen, Real, Refugio, Starr, Uvalde, Val Verde, Willacy, Zapata and Zavala counties.
In 2019, the South Texas Region had an estimated population of more than 2.4 million, or 8.4 percent of Texas’ total population. The region’s total employment of 837,223 accounted for 6.7 percent of the state’s total.
The region included nearly 30,000 manufacturing jobs in 2019, or 3.6 percent of its total employment (Texas manufacturing, by contrast, comprised 7.2 percent of total state employment). Manufacturing’s regional gross domestic product (GDP) of $7.1 billion accounted for 8.3 percent of the total regional GDP of $85.4 billion. The South Texas Region’s manufacturers paid more than $1.8 billion in wages in 2019, or 5.5 percent of total regional wages of $33.1 billion. Annual wages for its manufacturing jobs averaged nearly $61,000 in 2019 (Exhibit 1), far exceeding the average wages of about $39,500 for all regional jobs.
County | Employment | Gross Domestic Product | Wages | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | Share | Total (millions) | Share | Total (millions) | Share | Average Annual Wages |
|
Aransas | 42 | 0.8% | $8 | 1.3% | $2 | 0.7% | $36,944 |
Bee | 302 | 3.4% | $11 | 1.4% | $14 | 4.0% | $44,678 |
Brooks | 0 | 0.0% | $0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||
Cameron | 5,927 | 4.2% | $1,010 | 8.4% | $311 | 6.3% | $52,483 |
Dimmit | 68 | 1.0% | (D) | (D) | $2 | 0.5% | $26,381 |
Duval | 24 | 0.7% | (D) | (D) | $1 | 0.7% | $41,384 |
Edwards | 17 | 3.4% | (D) | (D) | $1 | 3.7% | $44,538 |
Hidalgo | 6,970 | 2.6% | $816 | 3.7% | $296 | 3.2% | $42,487 |
Jim Hogg | 50 | 2.9% | $8 | 4.0% | $2 | 2.8% | $38,868 |
Jim Wells | 406 | 2.4% | $50 | 2.8% | $26 | 3.2% | $63,653 |
Kenedy | 208 | 40.1% | (D) | (D) | $17 | 45.3% | $82,156 |
Kinney | 136 | 13.2% | (D) | (D) | $9 | 18.6% | $67,479 |
Kleberg | 355 | 3.0% | $60 | 4.9% | $25 | 5.1% | $69,812 |
La Salle | 0 | 0.0% | $1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | ||
Live Oak | 346 | 8.4% | (D) | (D) | $27 | 10.7% | $77,909 |
Maverick | 583 | 3.2% | $166 | 9.1% | $25 | 4.0% | $43,488 |
McMullen | 35 | 5.4% | (D) | (D) | $2 | 6.0% | $63,682 |
Nueces | 10,350 | 6.3% | $4,218 | 20.3% | $856 | 10.6% | $82,660 |
Real | 27 | 3.5% | $7 | 9.2% | $1 | 4.9% | $38,212 |
Refugio | 15 | 0.6% | (D) | (D) | $1 | 0.7% | $48,292 |
San Patricio | 822 | 4.4% | $423 | 14.8% | $83 | 9.1% | $100,561 |
Starr | 57 | 0.4% | $4 | 0.3% | $1 | 0.3% | $21,987 |
Uvalde | 395 | 4.0% | $47 | 5.0% | $14 | 3.9% | $34,434 |
Val Verde | 1,846 | 10.0% | $155 | 7.9% | $66 | 9.3% | $35,806 |
Webb | 718 | 0.7% | $89 | 0.8% | $30 | 0.8% | $41,120 |
Willacy | 63 | 1.7% | $7 | 1.4% | $3 | 2.1% | $47,243 |
Zapata | 31 | 0.9% | $7 | 1.1% | $3 | 1.9% | $113,522 |
Zavala | 102 | 4.2% | (D) | (D) | $7 | 7.5% | $69,703 |
South Texas Region Total | 29,893 | 3.6% | $7,088 | 8.3% | $1,823 | 5.5% | $60,987 |
Texas | 908,801 | 7.2% | $241,005 | 13.1% | $72,473 | 9.6% | $79,746 |
(D): data not shown to avoid disclosure of confidential information.
Sources: JobsEQ, U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and Texas Comptroller of Public Accounts
In 2019, most of the region’s manufacturing activity was concentrated in three counties: Nueces (Corpus Christi), Hidalgo (McAllen) and Cameron (Brownsville). Combined, they accounted for 78 percent of the region’s manufacturing jobs, 85 percent of its manufacturing GDP and 80 percent of its manufacturing wages.
Manufacturing in the South Texas Region comprises a variety of industrial sectors. For example:
Between 2001 and 2019, manufacturing employment in the South Texas Region fell by more than 31 percent, or about 13,500 jobs. Manufacturing’s share of total regional employment fell from 7.0 percent to 3.6 percent in this period (Exhibit 2).
Year | Total Industry Jobs | Manufacturing Jobs | Manufacturing Share of Total Industry Jobs |
---|---|---|---|
2001 | 621,235 | 43,441 | 7.0% |
2002 | 632,795 | 39,341 | 6.2% |
2003 | 646,496 | 37,182 | 5.8% |
2004 | 661,433 | 35,045 | 5.3% |
2005 | 680,161 | 35,505 | 5.2% |
2006 | 702,239 | 36,730 | 5.2% |
2007 | 722,802 | 36,256 | 5.0% |
2008 | 738,429 | 35,307 | 4.8% |
2009 | 723,779 | 31,743 | 4.4% |
2010 | 729,673 | 30,194 | 4.1% |
2011 | 748,564 | 30,557 | 4.1% |
2012 | 767,468 | 31,809 | 4.1% |
2013 | 784,209 | 32,064 | 4.1% |
2014 | 799,882 | 31,817 | 4.0% |
2015 | 805,927 | 31,368 | 3.9% |
2016 | 805,409 | 29,255 | 3.6% |
2017 | 813,290 | 28,408 | 3.5% |
2018 | 824,934 | 28,937 | 3.5% |
2019 | 837,223 | 29,893 | 3.6% |
Sources: JobsEQ and Texas Comptroller of Public Accounts
The region lost manufacturing jobs between 2009 and 2019, even as sector employment rose in Texas and the U.S. The region lost 1,850 jobs in this period, a decline of 5.8 percent. By comparison, Texas and U.S. manufacturing jobs rose by 8.0 percent and 8.2 percent, respectively (Exhibit 3).
The largest job losses were in transportation equipment industries, specifically ship and boat building and aerospace parts manufacturing. These two industries lost more than 1,600 and 900 jobs, respectively, during this period.
Regional manufacturing employment rose between 2017 and 2019, led by gains in chemical manufacturing and machinery manufacturing.
Year | South Texas Region Jobs | South Texas Region Percent Change | Texas Jobs | Texas Percent Change | USA Jobs | USA Percent Change |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2009 | 31,743 | 0.0% | 841,353 | 0.0% | 11,854,159 | 0.0% |
2010 | 30,194 | -4.9% | 814,265 | -3.2% | 11,532,264 | -2.7% |
2011 | 30,557 | -3.7% | 840,195 | -0.1% | 11,748,311 | -0.9% |
2012 | 31,809 | 0.2% | 867,771 | 3.1% | 11,950,974 | 0.8% |
2013 | 32,064 | 1.0% | 877,534 | 4.3% | 12,040,273 | 1.6% |
2014 | 31,817 | 0.2% | 890,468 | 5.8% | 12,202,119 | 2.9% |
2015 | 31,368 | -1.2% | 881,291 | 4.7% | 12,339,571 | 4.1% |
2016 | 29,255 | -7.8% | 848,235 | 0.8% | 12,345,948 | 4.1% |
2017 | 28,408 | -10.5% | 854,385 | 1.5% | 12,456,179 | 5.1% |
2018 | 28,937 | -8.8% | 882,339 | 4.9% | 12,696,998 | 7.1% |
2019 | 29,893 | -5.8% | 908,801 | 8.0% | 12,828,307 | 8.2% |
Sources: JobsEQ and Texas Comptroller of Public Accounts
Between 2009 and 2019, the South Texas Region lost 14 manufacturing establishments, a 1.3 percent decrease, compared to gains of 9 percent in Texas and 1 percent in the U.S. (Exhibit 4).
Year | South Texas Region (total) | South Texas Region | Texas | USA |
---|---|---|---|---|
2009 | 1,112 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
2010 | 1,114 | 0.2% | -1.4% | -2.5% |
2011 | 1,102 | -0.9% | -1.6% | -4.0% |
2012 | 1,077 | -3.1% | -1.9% | -4.7% |
2013 | 1,066 | -4.1% | -2.0% | -4.7% |
2014 | 1,052 | -5.4% | -1.4% | -3.9% |
2015 | 1,060 | -4.7% | 0.4% | -3.0% |
2016 | 1,085 | -2.4% | 1.7% | -2.2% |
2017 | 1,070 | -3.8% | 3.8% | -1.3% |
2018 | 1,082 | -2.7% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
2019 | 1,098 | -1.3% | 9.4% | 1.1% |
Sources: JobsEQ and Texas Comptroller of Public Accounts
The South Texas Region’s manufacturing jobs paid average wages of nearly $61,000 in 2019. Between 2009 and 2019, its average wages rose by 30 percent, versus 32 percent in Texas and 27 percent in the U.S. (Exhibit 5).
Year | South Texas Region | Texas | USA |
---|---|---|---|
2009 | $46,820 | $60,401 | $54,939 |
2010 | $48,360 | $63,310 | $57,595 |
2011 | $51,274 | $66,075 | $59,277 |
2012 | $52,476 | $68,491 | $60,553 |
2013 | $51,971 | $68,838 | $61,143 |
2014 | $54,025 | $71,171 | $63,024 |
2015 | $55,607 | $72,815 | $64,352 |
2016 | $56,539 | $73,125 | $64,922 |
2017 | $58,523 | $75,806 | $66,898 |
2018 | $60,311 | $77,647 | $68,585 |
2019 | $60,987 | $79,746 | $69,976 |
Sources: JobsEQ and Texas Comptroller of Public Accounts
The manufacturing sector’s GDP value for the South Texas Region rose by an inflation-adjusted 45.1 percent between 2009 and 2019, greater than Texas’ and the U.S.’ gains of 29.7 percent and 20.8 percent, respectively (Exhibit 6).
Regional manufacturing GDP has risen sharply since 2014, led by strong growth in Nueces County.
Year | South Texas Region | Texas | USA |
---|---|---|---|
2009 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
2010 | 13.6% | 10.8% | 5.4% |
2011 | 21.9% | 15.0% | 5.8% |
2012 | 14.4% | 10.9% | 5.1% |
2013 | 21.8% | 23.3% | 8.3% |
2014 | -6.9% | 11.3% | 10.2% |
2015 | 0.9% | 15.0% | 11.7% |
2016 | 7.8% | 11.7% | 10.9% |
2017 | 22.5% | 18.2% | 13.7% |
2018 | 37.3% | 24.4% | 18.5% |
2019 | 45.1% | 29.7% | 20.8% |
Note: Due to GDP data withheld to avoid disclosure of confidential information, the analysis excludes the South Texas Region’s counties of Brooks, Dimmit, Duval, Edwards, Kenedy, Kinney, La Salle, Live Oak, McMullen, Real, Refugio, Willacy, Zapata and Zavala.
Sources: U.S Bureau of Economic Analysis and Texas Comptroller of Public Accounts
All Texas industry sectors have been affected by the pandemic to some degree, and manufacturing is no exception. Monthly jobs data show that manufacturing jobs in all four South Texas MSAs suffered greater percentage losses in February 2021 compared to the previous year than in Texas or the U.S. Manufacturing losses also exceeded total job losses in all four metros during this period (Exhibit 7).
Metro Area | Manufacturing Jobs | Percent Change (Manufacturing) | Percent Change (Total Employment) |
---|---|---|---|
Brownsville-Harlingen MSA | -400 | -6.5% | -4.9% |
Corpus Christi MSA | -800 | -9.3% | -6.5% |
Laredo MSA | -100 | -12.5% | -7.5% |
McAllen-Edinburg-Mission MSA | -700 | -9.3% | -4.2% |
Texas | -54,200 | -6.0% | -4.6% |
United States | -524,000 | -4.1% | -6.0% |
Note: Not seasonally adjusted.
Source: Texas Workforce Commission
South Texas Region manufacturing employment fell by 1,850 jobs, or 5.8 percent, between 2009 and 2019. Some regional industries did see growth, however, led by gains in machinery manufacturing (up by 1,240 jobs or 106 percent) and chemical manufacturing (up by 459 jobs or 45 percent). The largest industry employment losses were in “other transportation equipment” (down 1,717 jobs or 64 percent) and aerospace product and parts (down 915 jobs or 20 percent).
The interactive Exhibit 8 displays regional manufacturing industry strengths and weaknesses through the use of two common analytical tools that compare regional manufacturing employment trends to national averages. These tools serve as an educational resource to inform development prospects and assess industry strengths beyond simple measures of employment change.
First, the location quotient (LQ) measures state and regional industry concentration levels by comparing an industry’s share of total regional employment to its share of total national employment. If the regional industry share exceeds the national share (an LQ greater than 1.00), the industry is more “concentrated” in the region than nationally. A score above 1.00 may indicate that the regional industry is strong and self-sufficient and that it exports its products or services beyond the region. Regional industries with below-average employment concentrations (LQs of less than 1.00) often import goods or services from other areas.
A second tool, shift-share analysis (SSA), measures regional industry job changes and assesses the role of local competitiveness on industry job gains or losses. The SSA uses national employment and industry trends to produce expected employment changes for a regional industry. If a regional industry’s actual employment changes exceed expected changes (a positive local competitiveness effect), the region may have a productive advantage in the industry. Conversely, a negative competitiveness effect indicates that the industry fell short of expected employment changes. Between 2009 and 2019, SSA shows that total manufacturing employment in the South Texas Region fell short of expected employment changes by about 3,221 jobs.
The manufacturing industries plotted in the exhibit fall into one of four quadrants based on 2019 LQ values and SSA values between 2009 and 2019:
The South Texas Region does have some strong, concentrated manufacturing industries, as measured by LQ values in 2019. The region’s leather and allied product industry is its most heavily concentrated manufacturing industry, with an LQ value of 6.6. (In other words, the industry’s share of South Texas Region employment is nearly 7 times as high as the industry’s nationwide share.) Petroleum products manufacturing is also highly concentrated in the region (2019 LQ = 4.47). Moreover, SSA measurements of this industry between 2009 and 2019 show that it exceeded expected employment changes by about 400 jobs, indicating that the regional industry enjoys a competitive advantage.
Aerospace products and parts manufacturing remains a concentrated industry in the South Texas Region, but SSA measurements may indicate some competitive weaknesses in the region, as industry jobs fell short of expected changes between 2009 and 2019 by more than 1,000 jobs.
The levels of employment concentration for many of the region’s manufacturing industries remain below national averages, yet some show high levels of competitiveness, most notably machinery manufacturing. Between 2009 and 2019, the industry exceeded expected employment gains by about 1,150 jobs. Such developments could identify emerging industries and prospects for further industry growth.
A note of caution: A positive competitive effect indicates that some economic advantages exist in a region, such as access to natural resources or to a more productive labor pool, management or technologies. The sources of those advantages, however, cannot be identified through SSA.
Industry Title | NAICS | Employment, 2019 | Location Quotient, 2019 | Employment Changes due to Local Competitiveness, 2009-2019 |
---|---|---|---|---|
Food Manufacturing | 311 | 4,480 | 0.47 | -681 |
Beverage and Tobacco Product Manufacturing | 312 | 494 | 0.30 | -119 |
Textile Mills | 313 | 107 | 0.17 | 81 |
Textile Product Mills | 314 | 223 | 0.34 | -3 |
Apparel Manufacturing | 315 | 461 | 0.73 | 189 |
Leather and Allied Product Manufacturing | 316 | 1,063 | 6.66 | -97 |
Wood Product Manufacturing | 321 | 237 | 0.10 | -150 |
Paper Manufacturing | 322 | 935 | 0.44 | 98 |
Printing and Related Support Activities | 323 | 346 | 0.14 | -76 |
Petroleum and Coal Products Manufacturing | 324 | 2,936 | 4.47 | 401 |
Chemical Manufacturing (Resource-Intensive Commodities) | 3251-3253 | 1,489 | 0.91 | 403 |
Pharmaceutical and Medicine Manufacturing | 3254 | 79 | 0.04 | -74 |
Chemical Manufacturing (Locally Processed Goods) | 3255-3259 | 195 | 0.13 | -43 |
Plastics and Rubber Products Manufacturing | 326 | 607 | 0.14 | 51 |
Nonmetallic Mineral Product Manufacturing | 327 | 1,409 | 0.58 | -375 |
Primary Metal Manufacturing | 331 | 395 | 0.18 | -153 |
Fabricated Metal Product Manufacturing | 332 | 3,601 | 0.42 | -103 |
Machinery Manufacturing | 333 | 2,410 | 0.37 | 1,143 |
Computer and Electronic Product Manufacturing | 334 | 890 | 0.14 | 193 |
Electrical Equipment, Appliance, and Component Manufacturing | 335 | 605 | 0.26 | 135 |
Motor Vehicle, Body, and Parts Manufacturing | 3361-3363 | 887 | 0.15 | -295 |
Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing | 3364 | 3,645 | 1.17 | -1,060 |
Other Transportation Equipment Manufacturing | 3365-3369 | 980 | 0.70 | -1,986 |
Furniture and Related Product Manufacturing | 337 | 666 | 0.30 | -315 |
Medical Equipment and Supplies Manufacturing | 3391 | 170 | 0.09 | -76 |
Other Miscellaneous Manufacturing | 3399 | 582 | 0.34 | -309 |
Total - Manufacturing | 29,893 | 0.40 | -3,221 |
Sources: JobsEQ and Texas Comptroller of Public Accounts
Manufacturing employment in the South Texas Region fell by nearly 6 percent between 2009 and 2019, burdened by losses in transportation equipment industries including aerospace parts and ship and boat building. Despite these losses, these industries maintain a strong presence in the region and the infrastructure to manage a resurgence.
Machinery manufacturing emerged as a promising regional industry, with job gains between 2009 and 2019 that far exceeded expectations.
Petroleum products manufacturing remains a key industry, especially with the region’s proximity to the Eagle Ford Shale.